The Project

AGMOW investigates the character and development of the Multi-Order World by focusing on
resilience-governance within and between the US-led Liberal Order, the Chinese-led Belt and
Road Order, the Russian-led Eurasian Order, and emerging transnational forms of orders.
AGMOW investigates the prospects for transnational and multi-order governance in three
policy domains: autonomous weapons, global health & climate change.

AGMOW adopts a relational ontology emphasizing the interactive potentialities of many non-linear processes and dynamics that can (sometimes) be glimpsed through both big and small events and relational dynamics.

AGMOW adopts a mixed methods approach designed to capture the dynamism and complexity of the current transformation process as well as the connectivity between multiple levels of ordering spanning the local to the global level.

By focusing on resilience-governance within and between multiple ordering domains, and by utilizing the Power, Principles, and Practice framework developed by PI Trine Flockhart, AGMOW strives to enhance our understanding of order transformation and where it might lead from both an agent-perspective and a structural perspective. 

AGMOW asks:

1.      In a multi-order world - how can global order be maintained, and cooperative governance ensured?

2.      What kind of ordering domains will constitute the global ordering structure and what kind of governance relationships between them
can we expect?

3.      What kind of multi-order world lies ahead?

Research Objectives

To document the approach to order and governance in the US-led liberal order, the Russian-led Eurasian order, and the Chinese-led Belt and Road order and in new forms of transnational ordering domains. The analysis will be focused on internal processes of “resilience as self-governance”.

To identify patterns of cooperative and non-cooperative governance at the global level in three policy domains – autonomous weapons, global health & climate change. The analysis will be focused on relational processes of “resilience as diversity-governance”. 

To integrate strategic foresight analysis into our knowledge exchange to be better equipped to anticipate challenges to governance and envision new forms of multi-order governance. The analysis will be guided by foresight methods.

The research objectives will be realized through three consecutive steps: